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Madison, WI 53726-2398
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Title: A synoptic climatology for forest fires in the NE US and future implications for GCM simulations

Source: International Journal of Wildland Fire. 4(4): 217-224.

Author(s)Qing, Yan; Sabo, Ronald; Wu, Yiqiang; Zhu, J.Y.

Publication Year: 1994  View PDF »

Category: Journal Articles

Abstract: We studied surface-pressure patterns corresponding to reduced precipitation, high evaporation potential, and enhanced forest-fire danger for West Virginia, which experienced extensive forest-fire damage in November 1987. From five years of daily weather maps we identified eight weather patterns that describe distinctive flow situations throughout the year. Map patterns labeled extended-high, back-of-high, and pre-high were the most frequently occurring patterns that accompany forest fires in West Virginia and the nearby four-state region. Of these, back-of-high accounted for a disproportionately large amount of fire-related damage. Examination of evaporation and precipitation data showed that these three patterns and high-to-the-south patterns all led to drying conditions and all other patterns led to moistening conditions. Surface-pressure fields generated by the Canadian Climate Centre global circulation model for simulations of the present (1xCO2) climate and 2xC02 climate were studied to determine whether forest-fire potential would change under increased atmospheric CO2. The analysis showed a tendency for increased frequency of drying in the NE US, but the results were not statistically significant.

Publication Review Process: Formally Refereed

File size: 553 kb(s)

Date posted: 04/01/2015

This publication is also viewable on Treesearch:  view
RITS Product ID: 72549
Current FPL Scientists associated with this product (listed alphabetically)
Sabo, Ronald C.
Research Materials Engineer
Zhu, JunYong
Research General Engineer
 

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