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Title: Using Forest Sector Models to Estimate the Potential Impact of Current Wood Utilization Research

Source: In: Proceedings of the forest sector analysis symposium; 1989 August 13-18; Soderfors, Sweden, Uppsala, Sweden: The Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences; 1989; pp.105-121.

Author(s)Skog, Kenneth; Durbak, Irene; Howard, James; Spelter, Henry; Bradley, Dennis; Adams, Darius; Haynes, Richard

Publication Year: 1989  View PDF »

Category: Conference Proceedings

Abstract: Managers of U.S. Forest Service wood utilization research are routinely asked to justify research in terms of its potential impacts. One area of interest is the impact of research on timber and wood products markets. As part of a decennial effort (1990) to assess the timber supply and demand situation in the United States, the Forest Service is analyzing the potential impact of seven selected areas of current Forest Service utilization research on timber and wood products markets (prices, consumption, and value): harvesting, lumber and plywood/veneer processing, engineering of wood structures, development of adhesives from renewable resources, expanded use of timber bridges, pulp, paper, and paperboard processing, and development of new or improved wood composite products. Research on pulp, paper, and paperboard processing has by far the greatest long-term potential for altering timber and wood product prices, harvest/consumption, and value. However, the major effects of such research would not be felt until after 2010. Softwood pulpwood consumption may decrease by a third by 2040. The effects of the solid wood product research would occur sooner, and such research would increase softwood sawtimber price. The effect of solid wood product research on other prices and on harvest/consumption levels would vary. Research on engineering of wood structures has the best prospect for increasing the aggregate annual value of timber and wood products--the projected increase is $0.6 billion in the year 2000 and $1.9 billion in 2040.

Keywords: wood technology, wood products, wood utilization, economic impact, market economics, models, research, forest products industries

Publication Review Process: Non-Refereed (Other)

File size: 609 kb(s)

Date posted: 07/18/2014
RITS Product ID: 67972
Current FPL Scientists associated with this product (listed alphabetically)
Howard, James L.
Economist
Skog, Kenneth E.
Supervisory Research Forester
Spelter, Henry N.
Economist (Volunteer)

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